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How many support Netanyahu's leadership the day after the war?

A survey conducted by the Israel Democracy Institute revealed a sectoral breakdown of support for leaders after the war

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attends a plenum session for Israelis held kidnapped by Hamas terrorists in Gaza, at the Knesset in Jerusalem, Dec. 25, 2023. (Photo: Yonatan Sindel/Flash90)
 

A survey conducted by the Israel Democracy Institute revealed that only 15% of the Israeli public supports Netanyahu as the post-war Prime Minister.

Approximately one-third of the respondents said they did not have an opinion and about 25% of the respondents supported Benny Gantz.

According to the survey among the Jewish population, led by researchers Prof. Tamar Hermann and Dr. Or Anabi, 25% of respondents named Gantz as the preferred candidate, followed by Netanyahu with 18%, with Naftali Bennett in third place and Yair Lapid in fourth.

In Arab society, a large majority of 68% chose the answer "I don't know" or "none," and 11% named Benny Gantz and Yair Lapid.

A breakdown according to voting in the last elections shows that while among the voters belonging to the National Unity party, the majority (55%) would like to see Gantz as prime minister, and no one wants Netanyahu to hold the position after the war; among Likud party voters, about one-third want the next prime minister to be Netanyahu (36%), with Gantz in second place at 15%.

When the researchers asked whether Netanyahu would be able to maintain the coalition he currently leads after the war, only one-quarter of the respondents answered they believed this would happen.

The ultra-Orthodox population is the only group of whom the majority of members believe that Netanyahu will succeed in this (60%), while 38% of the religious population and only 17% of the secular agree with this statement.

A breakdown according to voting in the last elections shows that only among the two ultra-Orthodox parties, United Torah Judaism and Shas, is there a majority who believe that the coalition will remain intact. Among the parties Likud and Religious Zionism, the numbers are slightly less than 50% (Likud - 42.5%, Religious Zionism – 41%). Among the voters of the rest of the parties, there is a small minority who believe that Netanyahu will be able to keep the coalition.

As for the northern front, 51% of the respondents said they support the opening of a battlefront against Hezbollah in the north and roughly one-third believe it should be avoided. The respondents in the survey constitute a representative sample of the entire adult population in Israel over 18 years old.

Anabi, a researcher at the Viterbi Center for Public Opinion and Policy Research at the Israel Democracy Institute, notes that "it emerges from the data of the report that support for the prime minister is low: Only 15% would like to see Netanyahu as the prime minister after the war ends, and only one-quarter of the respondents believe that he will, indeed, be able to maintain the current coalition after the war. These results are very problematic data for a leader during regular times, and they are even more problematic during a war – when the broad public support is paramount."

Dikla Aharon-Shafran is a correspondent for KAN 11 news.

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